UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Saturday, November 9, 2013·Goiania, Goias, Brazil·11 fights
Model: 5/11(45%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗
Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 57%43% Henderson
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +101(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Henderson)
MiddleweightHIT
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ferreira 70%30% Sarafian
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sarafian)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rafael Cavalcante won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cavalcante 48%52% Pokrajac
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -36(favors Pokrajac)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Cavalcante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pokrajac)
WelterweightHIT
Brandon Thatch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thatch 72%28% Thiago
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Thatch)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.6(favors Thatch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.6(favors Thatch)
WelterweightHIT
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 67%33% Ponzinibbio
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +191(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors LaFlare)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors LaFlare)
FeatherweightMISS
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stephens 47%53% Jason
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -257(favors Jason)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Jason)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Stephens)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Sam Sicilia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sicilia 43%57% Pepey
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Pepey)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Sicilia)
MiddleweightMISS
Omari Akhmedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Akhmedov 33%67% Perpetuo
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -191(favors Perpetuo)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.4(favors Perpetuo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Perpetuo)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R1)
Tavares 60%40% Salas
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +153(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Salas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Tavares)
LightweightMISS
Adriano Martins won by Submission (R2)
Martins 39%61% Cruickshank
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Cruickshank)
FlyweightMISS
Dustin Ortiz won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ortiz 45%55% Maria
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +122(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Maria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Maria)