UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Wednesday, November 6, 2013·Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Tim Kennedy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kennedy 39%61% Natal
LEAN
→Elo gap: -152(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Kennedy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Natal)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 60%40% Carmouche
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Carmouche)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Carmouche)
MiddleweightMISS
Yoel Romero won by KO/TKO (R3)
Romero 22%78% Markes
STRONG
→Elo gap: -145(favors Markes)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Romero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Markes)
LightweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Khabilov 68%32% Masvidal
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Masvidal)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Khabilov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +15.2(favors Khabilov)
LightweightHIT
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 65%35% Smith
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +97(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Chiesa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Smith)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by KO/TKO (R1)
Green 67%33% Krause
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Green)
BantamweightHIT
Francisco Rivera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivera 53%47% Roop
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Roop)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bermudez 67%33% Siler
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Bermudez)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nunes 67%33% Randamie
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +14.1(favors Nunes)
MiddleweightHIT
Lorenz Larkin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Larkin 53%47% Camozzi
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Camozzi)
Lightweight
Edwards 26%74% Medeiros
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -181(favors Medeiros)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Edwards)
WelterweightMISS
Seth Baczynski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Baczynski 42%58% Magny
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Magny)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by Submission (R1)
Brunson 76%24% Houston
STRONG
→Elo gap: +135(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Brunson)