UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Wednesday, August 28, 2013·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/11(55%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R4)
Condit 61%39% Kampmann
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Kampmann)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 68%32% Cerrone
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Anjos)
WelterweightHIT
Kelvin Gastelum won by Submission (R1)
Gastelum 57%43% Melancon
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -232(favors Melancon)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Melancon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Melancon)
WelterweightHIT
Court McGee won by Decision - Split (R3)
McGee 64%36% Whittaker
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -171(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors McGee)
BantamweightMISS
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mizugaki 40%60% Perez
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Mizugaki)
MiddleweightMISS
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 44%56% McDaniel
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +89(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Tavares)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Dylan Andrews won by KO/TKO (R3)
Andrews 54%46% Abedi
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +296(favors Andrews)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Andrews)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Abedi)
WelterweightMISS
Brandon Thatch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thatch 46%54% Edwards
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -167(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Edwards)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 60%40% Hioki
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Elkins)
WelterweightMISS
Jason High won by Submission (R1)
High 50%50% Head
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -270(favors Head)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Head)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Head)
WelterweightMISS
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R1)
Cummings 46%54% Alloway
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +0(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Alloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Alloway)
Lightweight
Bowling 30%70% Trujillo
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -311(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Bowling)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Bowling)