UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Saturday, July 6, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Weidman 71%29% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -335(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Weidman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Weidman)
FeatherweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edgar 52%48% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +275(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Oliveira)
MiddleweightMISS
Tim Kennedy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kennedy 45%55% Gracie
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gracie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)
MiddleweightHIT
Mark Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 56%44% Boetsch
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Boetsch)
FeatherweightMISS
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Swanson 41%59% Siver
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Swanson)
MiddleweightHIT
Andrew Craig won by Decision - Split (R3)
Craig 60%40% Leben
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Leben)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 63%37% Tokudome
LEAN
→Elo gap: +5(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Parke)
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gonzaga 63%37% Herman
LEAN
→Elo gap: +186(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Gonzaga)
LightweightHIT
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barboza 65%35% Oliveira
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +278(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightMISS
Brian Melancon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Melancon 23%77% Baczynski
STRONG
→Elo gap: -247(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Baczynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Baczynski)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pierce 76%24% Mitchell
STRONG
→Elo gap: +440(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Pierce)