UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
St-Pierre 73%27% Condit
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +297(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors St-Pierre)
WelterweightHIT
Johny Hendricks won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hendricks 66%34% Kampmann
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Hendricks)
MiddleweightHIT
Francis Carmont won by Decision - Split (R3)
Carmont 59%41% Lawlor
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Carmont)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lawlor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Carmont)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 56%44% Bocek
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Bocek)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Bocek)
FeatherweightMISS
Pablo Garza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Garza 50%50% Hominick
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Garza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Hominick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Hominick)
MiddleweightHIT
Patrick Cote won by DQ (R1)
Cote 57%43% Sakara
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +290(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Cote)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Cyrille Diabate won by Submission (R1)
Diabate 66%34% Griggs
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +53(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Diabate)
LightweightMISS
John Makdessi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makdessi 44%56% Stout
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -264(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Stout)
FeatherweightHIT
Antonio Carvalho won by Decision - Split (R3)
Carvalho 52%48% Damm
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -27(favors Damm)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Damm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Damm)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riddle 60%40% Maguire
LEAN
→Elo gap: -79(favors Maguire)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Maguire)
BantamweightHIT
Ivan Menjivar won by Submission (R1)
Menjivar 67%33% Gashimov
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +165(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Menjivar)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 58%42% Siler
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Siler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Elkins)