UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Friday, October 5, 2012·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Antonio Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 48%52% Browne
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -418(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Browne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Browne)
WelterweightHIT
Jake Ellenberger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ellenberger 78%22% Hieron
STRONG
→Elo gap: +522(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.3(favors Hieron)
FlyweightHIT
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dodson 71%29% Formiga
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +183(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Dodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Dodson)
WelterweightMISS
Justin Edwards won by Submission (R1)
Edwards 48%52% Neer
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Neer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Edwards)
LightweightHIT
Michael Johnson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Johnson 54%46% Castillo
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -80(favors Castillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Castillo)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pierce 55%45% Simpson
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Simpson)
LightweightHIT
Marcus LeVesseur won by Decision - Split (R3)
LeVesseur 60%40% Prater
LEAN
→Elo gap: -108(favors Prater)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors LeVesseur)
→Takedown rate advantage: +9.7(favors LeVesseur)
LightweightHIT
Jacob Volkmann won by Submission (R1)
Volkmann 74%26% Roller
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +149(favors Volkmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Roller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Volkmann)
FeatherweightHIT
Diego Nunes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nunes 62%38% Palaszewski
LEAN
→Elo gap: -13(favors Palaszewski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Nunes)
FlyweightMISS
Darren Uyenoyama won by Submission (R2)
Uyenoyama 47%53% Harris
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +65(favors Uyenoyama)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Uyenoyama)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Uyenoyama)