UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Saturday, July 21, 2012·Calgary, Alberta, Canada·11 fights
Model: 5/9(56%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Barao 75%25% Faber
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barao)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Boetsch won by Decision - Split (R3)
Boetsch 74%26% Lombard
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +494(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Boetsch)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kongo 76%24% Jordan
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kongo)
WelterweightMISS
James Head won by Decision - Split (R3)
Head 21%79% Ebersole
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -493(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Head)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Ebersole)
Welterweight
Clements 31%69% Riddle
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -102(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Clements)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Riddle)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Nick Ring won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ring 36%64% McGee
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors McGee)
Bantamweight
Delorme 35%65% Rivera
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Delorme)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Delorme)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ryan Jimmo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jimmo 47%53% Perosh
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -224(favors Perosh)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Perosh)
BantamweightHIT
Bryan Caraway won by Submission (R3)
Caraway 65%35% Gagnon
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +166(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Caraway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Caraway)
Early Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Antonio Carvalho won by KO/TKO (R1)
Carvalho 44%56% Pineda
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -269(favors Pineda)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Pineda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Pineda)
LightweightHIT
Anton Kuivanen won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kuivanen 56%44% Clarke
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +64(favors Kuivanen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Kuivanen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Clarke)