UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Saturday, July 21, 2012·Calgary, Alberta, Canada
Model Record: 5/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Barao 78%22% Faber
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +104(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barao)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Boetsch won by Decision - Split (R3)
Boetsch 73%27% Lombard
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +440(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Boetsch)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kongo 66%34% Jordan
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kongo)
WelterweightMISS
James Head won by Decision - Split (R3)
Head 24%76% Ebersole
STRONG
→Elo gap: -371(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Head)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Ebersole)
Welterweight
Clements 30%70% Riddle
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -127(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Clements)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Riddle)
MiddleweightMISS
Nick Ring won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ring 38%62% McGee
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors McGee)
Bantamweight
Delorme 42%58% Rivera
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Delorme)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Delorme)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ryan Jimmo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jimmo 43%57% Perosh
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -194(favors Perosh)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Perosh)
BantamweightHIT
Bryan Caraway won by Submission (R3)
Caraway 68%32% Gagnon
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Caraway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Caraway)
FeatherweightMISS
Antonio Carvalho won by KO/TKO (R1)
Carvalho 41%59% Pineda
LEAN
→Elo gap: -181(favors Pineda)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Pineda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Pineda)
LightweightHIT
Anton Kuivanen won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kuivanen 51%49% Clarke
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +43(favors Kuivanen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Kuivanen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Clarke)