UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA
Model Record: 11/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Weidman 69%31% Munoz
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -176(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Weidman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
James Te Huna won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Huna 77%23% Beltran
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +319(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Huna)
WelterweightHIT
Aaron Simpson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simpson 68%32% Robertson
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Simpson)
MiddleweightHIT
Francis Carmont won by Submission (R2)
Carmont 70%30% Vemola
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +143(favors Carmont)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Carmont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Carmont)
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by Submission (R1)
Dillashaw 65%35% Lee
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Lee)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 55%45% Njokuani
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +213(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Anjos)
BantamweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Submission (R2)
Caceres 75%25% Page
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +67(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Page)
FlyweightHIT
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cariaso 63%37% Ferguson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +267(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Cariaso)
MiddleweightHIT
Andrew Craig won by KO/TKO (R2)
Craig 54%46% Natal
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Craig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Natal)
WelterweightHIT
Marcelo Guimaraes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Guimaraes 58%42% Stittgen
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Guimaraes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Stittgen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stittgen)
BantamweightHIT
Raphael Assuncao won by KO/TKO (R2)
Assuncao 58%42% Tamura
LEAN
→Elo gap: -141(favors Tamura)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Tamura)