UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Saturday, July 7, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 9/11(82%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 50%50% Sonnen
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +396(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sonnen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Sonnen)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Forrest Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 73%27% Ortiz
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +142(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Griffin)
MiddleweightHIT
Cung Le won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Le 50%50% Cote
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -153(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Le)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Cote)
WelterweightMISS
Demian Maia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Maia 43%57% Kim
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Kim)
FeatherweightHIT
Chad Mendes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mendes 64%36% McKenzie
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Mendes)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Mike Easton won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Easton 59%41% Menjivar
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Easton)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Easton)
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guillard 66%34% Camoes
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Camoes)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 52%48% Tibau
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -270(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Nurmagomedov)
MiddleweightHIT
Constantinos Philippou won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Philippou 59%41% Fukuda
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +499(favors Philippou)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Fukuda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Fukuda)
Early Prelims
LightweightMISS
Shane Roller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roller 46%54% Alessio
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -37(favors Alessio)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Roller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Roller)
LightweightHIT
Rafaello Oliveira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oliveira 59%41% Izquierdo
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +33(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Izquierdo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Oliveira)