UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
Tuesday, May 15, 2012·Fairfax, Virginia, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightMISS
Chan Sung Jung won by Submission (R4)
Jung 47%53% Poirier
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -50(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Poirier)
WelterweightHIT
Amir Sadollah won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sadollah 53%47% Lopez
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +208(favors Sadollah)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Lopez)
LightweightMISS
Donald Cerrone won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerrone 49%51% Stephens
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +165(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Stephens)
BantamweightMISS
Yves Jabouin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jabouin 38%62% Hougland
LEAN
→Elo gap: +12(favors Jabouin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Hougland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Jabouin)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Igor Pokrajac won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pokrajac 61%39% Maldonado
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +168(favors Pokrajac)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pokrajac)
MiddleweightHIT
Tom Lawlor won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lawlor 80%20% MacDonald
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Lawlor)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Lawlor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Lawlor)
MiddleweightMISS
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 50%50% Yang
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +42(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Yang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Yang)
LightweightHIT
Cody McKenzie won by Submission (R1)
McKenzie 61%39% LeVesseur
LEAN
→Elo gap: -130(favors LeVesseur)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors McKenzie)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors McKenzie)
LightweightHIT
TJ Grant won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grant 79%21% Prater
STRONG
→Elo gap: +192(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Grant)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Submission (R1)
Anjos 86%14% Shalorus
STRONG
→Elo gap: +406(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Anjos)
BantamweightHIT
Johnny Eduardo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Eduardo 53%47% Curran
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +11(favors Eduardo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Eduardo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Curran)
BantamweightMISS
Francisco Rivera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivera 38%62% Soto
LEAN
→Elo gap: -56(favors Soto)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Soto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Soto)