UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saturday, February 25, 2012·Saitama, Japan
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Henderson 39%61% Edgar
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -346(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Henderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bader 53%47% Jackson
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -210(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Bader)
HeavyweightMISS
Mark Hunt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hunt 35%65% Kongo
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -320(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Kongo)
WelterweightHIT
Jake Shields won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Shields 61%39% Akiyama
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Shields)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Akiyama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Akiyama)
MiddleweightMISS
Tim Boetsch won by KO/TKO (R3)
Boetsch 44%56% Okami
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -264(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Okami)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Boetsch)
FeatherweightHIT
Hatsu Hioki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hioki 55%45% Palaszewski
LEAN
→Elo gap: -82(favors Palaszewski)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Palaszewski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Hioki)
LightweightMISS
Anthony Pettis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pettis 45%55% Lauzon
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -321(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Lauzon)
LightweightHIT
Takanori Gomi won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gomi 66%34% Mitsuoka
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +34(favors Gomi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Gomi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mitsuoka)
BantamweightHIT
Vaughan Lee won by Submission (R1)
Lee 64%36% Yamamoto
LEAN
→Elo gap: +81(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Lee)
MiddleweightHIT
Riki Fukuda won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fukuda 71%29% Cantwell
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +135(favors Fukuda)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Cantwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Fukuda)
BantamweightMISS
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cariaso 38%62% Mizugaki
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -28(favors Mizugaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Mizugaki)
FeatherweightMISS
Issei Tamura won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tamura 49%51% Tiequan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -3(favors Tiequan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Tiequan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tiequan)