UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA
Model Record: 6/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Jake Ellenberger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ellenberger 72%28% Sanchez
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Ellenberger)
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by KO/TKO (R2)
Struve 68%32% Herman
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +80(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Herman)
MiddleweightHIT
Ronny Markes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Markes 71%29% Simpson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -171(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Markes)
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 55%45% Fries
LEAN
→Elo gap: +10(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Miocic)
BantamweightMISS
TJ Dillashaw won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dillashaw 44%56% Watson
LEAN
→Elo gap: -164(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Watson)
BantamweightMISS
Ivan Menjivar won by Submission (R1)
Menjivar 35%65% Albert
LEAN
→Elo gap: +49(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: -15.8(favors Albert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Albert)
FeatherweightHIT
Jonathan Brookins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brookins 62%38% Rocha
LEAN
→Elo gap: -65(favors Rocha)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Rocha)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brookins)
LightweightMISS
Justin Salas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Salas 38%62% Kuivanen
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kuivanen)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kuivanen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kuivanen)
LightweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 57%43% Magalhaes
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)