UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA·9 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Jake Ellenberger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ellenberger 67%33% Sanchez
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Ellenberger)
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by KO/TKO (R2)
Struve 54%46% Herman
Over/UnderUnder 68%
Under 68%Over 32%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +79(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Herman)
MiddleweightHIT
Ronny Markes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Markes 74%26% Simpson
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -184(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Markes)
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 61%39% Fries
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -12(favors Fries)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Miocic)
BantamweightMISS
TJ Dillashaw won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dillashaw 39%61% Watson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -236(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Watson)
BantamweightMISS
Ivan Menjivar won by Submission (R1)
Menjivar 33%67% Albert
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +93(favors Menjivar)
→Striking volume advantage: -15.8(favors Albert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Albert)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Jonathan Brookins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brookins 64%36% Rocha
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -110(favors Rocha)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Rocha)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brookins)
LightweightMISS
Justin Salas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Salas 43%57% Kuivanen
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kuivanen)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kuivanen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kuivanen)
LightweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 56%44% Magalhaes
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)