UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Saturday, December 10, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Model Record: 5/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Submission (R2)
Jones 84%16% Machida
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +219(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Jones)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Submission (R1)
Mir 63%37% Nogueira
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Mir)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rogerio Nogueira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nogueira 58%42% Ortiz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -135(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Ortiz)
WelterweightHIT
Brian Ebersole won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ebersole 55%45% Patrick
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +20(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Ebersole)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Patrick)
FeatherweightHIT
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 56%44% Hominick
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -6(favors Hominick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Jung)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Igor Pokrajac won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pokrajac 38%62% Soszynski
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Soszynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Pokrajac)
MiddleweightMISS
Constantinos Philippou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Philippou 48%52% Hamman
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Hamman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Philippou)
LightweightMISS
Dennis Hallman won by Submission (R1)
Hallman 34%66% Makdessi
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Hallman)
BantamweightMISS
Yves Jabouin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jabouin 48%52% Watson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -121(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Jabouin)
LightweightMISS
Mark Bocek won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bocek 50%50% Lentz
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -215(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Bocek)
WelterweightMISS
Jake Hecht won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hecht 48%52% Attonito
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -171(favors Attonito)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Attonito)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Attonito)
LightweightMISS
John Cholish won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cholish 40%60% Clarke
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Clarke)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Clarke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Clarke)