UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Saturday, November 5, 2011·Birmingham, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Mark Munoz won by KO/TKO (R2)
Munoz 55%45% Leben
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Munoz)
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Submission (R1)
Barao 76%24% Pickett
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Barao)
WelterweightHIT
Thiago Alves won by Submission (R1)
Alves 76%24% Abedi
STRONG
→Elo gap: +399(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Alves)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Anthony Perosh won by Submission (R2)
Perosh 40%60% Diabate
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -121(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Perosh)
LightweightHIT
Terry Etim won by Submission (R1)
Etim 75%25% Faaloloto
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +301(favors Etim)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Faaloloto)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Etim)
WelterweightMISS
John Maguire won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maguire 43%57% Edwards
LEAN
→Elo gap: -33(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Edwards)
HeavyweightHIT
Philip De Fries won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fries 51%49% Broughton
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -76(favors Broughton)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Broughton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Broughton)
FeatherweightMISS
Michihiro Omigawa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Omigawa 42%58% Young
LEAN
→Elo gap: -158(favors Young)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Omigawa)
WelterweightHIT
Che Mills won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mills 51%49% Cope
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -85(favors Cope)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Cope)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cope)
BantamweightMISS
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cariaso 46%54% Lee
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Cariaso)