UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Saturday, October 8, 2011·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R4)
Edgar 55%45% Maynard
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Maynard)
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 59%41% Florian
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -308(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Aldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Aldo)
MiddleweightHIT
Chael Sonnen won by Submission (R2)
Sonnen 56%44% Stann
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Sonnen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Sonnen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Sonnen)
FeatherweightHIT
Nam Phan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Phan 56%44% Garcia
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -124(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Phan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Garcia)
LightweightMISS
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R1)
Lauzon 33%67% Guillard
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -218(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Lauzon)
MiddleweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 71%29% Santiago
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +524(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Maia)
LightweightMISS
Anthony Pettis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pettis 50%50% Stephens
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -326(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Stephens)
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miocic 53%47% Beltran
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -120(favors Beltran)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Beltran)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 54%46% Tiequan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -44(favors Tiequan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Tiequan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Elkins)
MiddleweightHIT
Aaron Simpson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simpson 73%27% Schafer
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +234(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Simpson)
MiddleweightMISS
Mike Massenzio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Massenzio 48%52% Cantwell
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -40(favors Cantwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Cantwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Massenzio)