UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Saturday, July 2, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightMISS
Dominick Cruz won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Cruz 46%54% Faber
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Faber)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leben 63%37% Silva
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -74(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Leben)
LightweightHIT
Dennis Siver won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siver 56%44% Wiman
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Wiman)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Tito Ortiz won by Submission (R1)
Ortiz 31%69% Bader
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -110(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Bader)
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R1)
Condit 53%47% Kim
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -8(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Kim)
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guillard 80%20% Roller
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +246(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Roller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Guillard)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anjos 57%43% Sotiropoulos
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -250(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
BantamweightMISS
Brian Bowles won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bowles 43%57% Mizugaki
LEAN
→Elo gap: +43(favors Bowles)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Bowles)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Bowles)
MiddleweightMISS
Aaron Simpson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simpson 43%57% Tavares
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Simpson)
LightweightHIT
Anthony Njokuani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Njokuani 61%39% Winner
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Njokuani)
BantamweightMISS
Jeff Hougland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hougland 44%56% Walker
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)