UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Saturday, July 2, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
BantamweightMISS
Dominick Cruz won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Cruz 43%57% Faber
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Faber)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leben 64%36% Silva
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Leben)
LightweightHIT
Dennis Siver won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siver 65%35% Wiman
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Wiman)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Tito Ortiz won by Submission (R1)
Ortiz 37%63% Bader
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Bader)
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R1)
Condit 55%45% Kim
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Kim)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guillard 78%22% Roller
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Roller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Guillard)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anjos 54%46% Sotiropoulos
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -253(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
BantamweightMISS
Brian Bowles won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bowles 42%58% Mizugaki
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +64(favors Bowles)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Bowles)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Bowles)
MiddleweightMISS
Aaron Simpson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simpson 41%59% Tavares
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +25(favors Simpson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Simpson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Simpson)
Early Prelims
LightweightHIT
Anthony Njokuani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Njokuani 69%31% Winner
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Njokuani)
BantamweightHIT
Jeff Hougland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hougland 55%45% Walker
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)