UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Saturday, May 28, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Quinton Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 51%49% Hamill
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Hamill)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mir 73%27% Nelson
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Nelson)
HeavyweightMISS
Travis Browne won by KO/TKO (R1)
Browne 40%60% Struve
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -99(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Browne)
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Story 64%36% Alves
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Story)
MiddleweightHIT
Brian Stann won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stann 62%38% Santiago
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +487(favors Stann)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Stann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Santiago)
BantamweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 60%40% Torres
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +10.0(favors Johnson)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Boetsch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Boetsch 58%42% Grove
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Boetsch)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R2)
Tibau 74%26% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +361(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Tibau)
BantamweightMISS
Michael McDonald won by Decision - Split (R3)
McDonald 41%59% Cariaso
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors McDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors McDonald)
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barao 55%45% Escovedo
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Escovedo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Escovedo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Escovedo)