UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Saturday, September 14, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Dvalishvili 54%46% O'Malley
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Dvalishvili)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Valentina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Shevchenko 46%54% Grasso
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Grasso)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Grasso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Shevchenko)
FeatherweightMISS
Diego Lopes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lopes 43%57% Ortega
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Ortega)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Ortega)
LightweightMISS
Esteban Ribovics won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ribovics 39%61% Zellhuber
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Zellhuber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Ribovics)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Ribovics)
FlyweightHIT
Ronaldo Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 55%45% Osbourne
LEAN
→Elo gap: +185(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Osbourne)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumont 60%40% Aldana
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Dumont)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Dumont)
LightweightHIT
Ignacio Bahamondes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bahamondes 61%39% Torres
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Torres)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Ketlen Souza won by Submission (R1)
Souza 50%50% Jauregui
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -81(favors Jauregui)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Jauregui)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Souza)
FlyweightHIT
Joshua Van won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Van 60%40% Chairez
LEAN
→Elo gap: +47(favors Van)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors Van)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Van)
BantamweightHIT
Raul Rosas Jr. won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jr. 61%39% Aoriqileng
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Aoriqileng)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Jr.)