UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 58%42% Kampmann
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Kampmann)
MiddleweightMISS
Mark Munoz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Munoz 42%58% Dollaway
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Dollaway)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Weidman 53%47% Sakara
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -308(favors Sakara)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sakara)
BantamweightMISS
Brian Bowles won by Submission (R1)
Bowles 40%60% Page
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Page)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Page)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Page)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Cyrille Diabate won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diabate 42%58% Cantwell
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +62(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Cantwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Cantwell)
LightweightMISS
Danny Castillo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Castillo 32%68% Stevenson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Stevenson)
LightweightMISS
Shane Roller won by KO/TKO (R2)
Roller 37%63% Tavares
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Tavares)
BantamweightMISS
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mizugaki 48%52% Duran
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Duran)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Duran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Duran)
MiddleweightHIT
Dongi Yang won by KO/TKO (R2)
Yang 63%37% Kimmons
LEAN
→Elo gap: +37(favors Yang)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Yang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Yang)
MiddleweightHIT
Rousimar Palhares won by Submission (R2)
Palhares 54%46% Branch
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Palhares)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Palhares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Palhares)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Igor Pokrajac won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pokrajac 67%33% Brown
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +19(favors Pokrajac)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Pokrajac)