UFC 125: Resolution
Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight
Edgar 59%41% Maynard
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Maynard)
MiddleweightMISS
Brian Stann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Stann 47%53% Leben
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -239(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Leben)
Light Heavyweight
Vera 33%67% Silva
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -417(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Vera)
WelterweightMISS
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kim 37%63% Diaz
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Kim)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Submission (R2)
Guida 72%28% Gomi
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +173(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Guida)
LightweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R3)
Stephens 70%30% Davis
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Stephens)
FeatherweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Poirier 50%50% Grispi
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Grispi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grispi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grispi)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tavares 84%16% Baroni
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +281(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tavares)
FeatherweightHIT
Diego Nunes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nunes 51%49% Brown
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Brown)
WelterweightHIT
Daniel Roberts won by Submission (R1)
Roberts 58%42% Soto
LEAN
→Elo gap: -7(favors Soto)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Soto)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Roberts)
LightweightHIT
Jacob Volkmann won by Decision - Split (R3)
Volkmann 87%13% McKee
STRONG
→Elo gap: +89(favors Volkmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Volkmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Volkmann)