UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
Saturday, October 16, 2010·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 4/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bisping 67%33% Akiyama
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +200(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Akiyama)
WelterweightMISS
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R1)
Condit 44%56% Hardy
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -252(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Condit)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pyle 25%75% Hathaway
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -320(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Hathaway)
Heavyweight
Kongo 67%33% Browne
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Browne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Kongo)
WelterweightHIT
Claude Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 51%49% Wilks
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +20(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Wilks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Patrick)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Alexander Gustafsson won by Submission (R2)
Gustafsson 49%51% Diabate
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.6(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diabate)
HeavyweightMISS
Rob Broughton won by Submission (R3)
Broughton 45%55% Queiroz
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Queiroz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Queiroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Queiroz)
LightweightHIT
Paul Sass won by Submission (R1)
Sass 56%44% Holst
LEAN
→Elo gap: +110(favors Sass)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Holst)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Holst)
LightweightHIT
Spencer Fisher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fisher 76%24% Warburton
STRONG
→Elo gap: +100(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Fisher)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Fabio Maldonado won by KO/TKO (R3)
Maldonado 44%56% McSweeney
LEAN
→Elo gap: +45(favors Maldonado)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors McSweeney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors McSweeney)