UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Saturday, June 12, 2010·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Model Record: 3/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Franklin 64%36% Liddell
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +123(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Liddell)
HeavyweightMISS
Mirko Filipovic won by Submission (R3)
Filipovic 41%59% Barry
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -41(favors Barry)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Barry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Filipovic)
WelterweightMISS
Martin Kampmann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kampmann 27%73% Thiago
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -270(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Kampmann)
HeavyweightMISS
Ben Rothwell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rothwell 40%60% Yvel
LEAN
→Elo gap: +9(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Yvel)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yvel)
WelterweightMISS
Carlos Condit won by KO/TKO (R3)
Condit 42%58% MacDonald
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors MacDonald)
LightweightMISS
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dunham 35%65% Griffin
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Dunham)
LightweightHIT
Matt Wiman won by Submission (R1)
Wiman 74%26% Danzig
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Wiman)
MiddleweightHIT
Mario Miranda won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miranda 53%47% Loiseau
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -193(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Miranda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Loiseau)
WelterweightMISS
James Wilks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wilks 36%64% Sobotta
LEAN
→Elo gap: +106(favors Wilks)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Wilks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Wilks)
WelterweightMISS
Claude Patrick won by Submission (R2)
Patrick 50%50% Funch
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +47(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Funch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Funch)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by Submission (R3)
Pyle 41%59% Lennox
LEAN
→Elo gap: -164(favors Lennox)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Lennox)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pyle)