UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Wednesday, March 31, 2010·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Kenny Florian won by Submission (R3)
Florian 70%30% Gomi
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +511(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Florian)
HeavyweightMISS
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 49%51% Struve
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -132(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Nelson)
MiddleweightMISS
Jorge Rivera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivera 34%66% Quarry
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Rivera)
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pearson 68%32% Siver
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Siver)
LightweightMISS
Andre Winner won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Winner 48%52% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Winner)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Winner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Oliveira)
LightweightHIT
Jacob Volkmann won by Decision - Split (R3)
Volkmann 68%32% Torres
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -56(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Volkmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Torres)
LightweightHIT
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 65%35% Emerson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Lentz)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tibau 76%24% Uno
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +237(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Uno)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Tibau)
MiddleweightHIT
Yushin Okami won by KO/TKO (R2)
Okami 77%23% Linhares
STRONG
→Elo gap: +437(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Okami)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Linhares)
MiddleweightHIT
Gerald Harris won by KO/TKO (R1)
Harris 70%30% Miranda
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +128(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Harris)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Harris)
WelterweightMISS
Charlie Brenneman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brenneman 47%53% High
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors High)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors High)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors High)