UFC 109: Relentless
Saturday, February 6, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Randy Couture won by Submission (R2)
Couture 63%37% Coleman
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +274(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Coleman)
MiddleweightMISS
Chael Sonnen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sonnen 45%55% Marquardt
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -344(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Sonnen)
WelterweightHIT
Paulo Thiago won by Submission (R2)
Thiago 59%41% Swick
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Thiago)
MiddleweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 56%44% Miller
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +234(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Maia)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Serra won by KO/TKO (R1)
Serra 58%42% Trigg
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +221(favors Serra)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Trigg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Serra)
LightweightMISS
Mac Danzig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Danzig 49%51% Buchholz
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +37(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Danzig)
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guillard 82%18% Torres
STRONG
→Elo gap: +77(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Guillard)
LightweightHIT
Rob Emerson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emerson 51%49% Nover
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +190(favors Emerson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Emerson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Emerson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 58%42% Stann
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Stann)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Stann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stann)
HeavyweightHIT
Chris Tuchscherer won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Tuchscherer 62%38% Hague
LEAN
→Elo gap: -49(favors Hague)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hague)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.3(favors Hague)
HeavyweightHIT
Joey Beltran won by KO/TKO (R2)
Beltran 53%47% Gracie
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gracie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gracie)