UFC 97: Redemption
Saturday, April 18, 2009·Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Silva 70%30% Leites
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +396(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Leites)
LightweightMISS
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 43%57% Wiman
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -258(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Wiman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Mauricio Rua won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rua 59%41% Liddell
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -207(favors Liddell)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Rua)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Krzysztof Soszynski won by Submission (R1)
Soszynski 58%42% Stann
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Soszynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stann)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kongo 59%41% Hardonk
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Hardonk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Kongo)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Luiz Cane won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cane 49%51% Cantwell
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Cane)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Cantwell)
MiddleweightHIT
Denis Kang won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kang 64%36% Foupa-Pokam
LEAN
→Elo gap: -84(favors Foupa-Pokam)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Kang)
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Quarry won by KO/TKO (R1)
Quarry 60%40% MacDonald
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Quarry)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors MacDonald)
MiddleweightMISS
Ed Herman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herman 42%58% Loiseau
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -307(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Herman)
LightweightMISS
Mark Bocek won by Submission (R1)
Bocek 47%53% Bielkheden
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -10(favors Bielkheden)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Bielkheden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Bielkheden)
WelterweightHIT
TJ Grant won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grant 51%49% Chonan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +14(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Chonan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Chonan)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Eliot Marshall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marshall 63%37% Magalhaes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +238(favors Marshall)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Marshall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +10.3(favors Marshall)