UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Saturday, January 17, 2009·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland·10 fights
Model: 9/10(90%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Dan Henderson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Henderson 32%68% Franklin
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -385(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Henderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Mauricio Rua won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rua 78%22% Coleman
Over/UnderUnder 71%
Under 71%Over 29%
STRONG
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -252(favors Coleman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Coleman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Rua)
MiddleweightHIT
Rousimar Palhares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Palhares 65%35% Horn
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Horn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Horn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Palhares)
MiddleweightHIT
Alan Belcher won by Submission (R2)
Belcher 69%31% Kang
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +134(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Belcher)
WelterweightHIT
Marcus Davis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Davis 71%29% Lytle
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +318(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Davis)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hathaway 61%39% Egan
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Egan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Egan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Egan)
WelterweightHIT
Martin Kampmann won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kampmann 84%16% Barros
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +255(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.3(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Kampmann)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Eric Schafer won by KO/TKO (R1)
Schafer 58%42% Mendes
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +91(favors Schafer)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Schafer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Mendes)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tomasz Drwal won by KO/TKO (R1)
Drwal 70%30% Serati
Over/UnderUnder 71%
Under 71%Over 29%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -68(favors Serati)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Drwal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Drwal)
Early Prelims
LightweightHIT
Dennis Siver won by KO/TKO (R3)
Siver 57%43% Mohr
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +16(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Mohr)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Siver)