The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Saturday, December 13, 2008·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 6/10(60%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Efrain Escudero won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Escudero 50%50% Nover
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Nover)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Nover)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nover)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ryan Bader won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bader 45%55% Magalhaes
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
WelterweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Johnson 55%45% Burns
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -388(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Johnson)
MiddleweightHIT
Wilson Gouveia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gouveia 65%35% MacDonald
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Gouveia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors MacDonald)
LightweightHIT
Junie Browning won by Submission (R2)
Browning 53%47% Kaplan
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kaplan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kaplan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kaplan)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Krzysztof Soszynski won by Submission (R2)
Soszynski 30%70% Primm
Over/UnderUnder 66%
Under 66%Over 34%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Primm)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Primm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Primm)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Eliot Marshall won by Submission (R1)
Marshall 51%49% Bruchez
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Bruchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Bruchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bruchez)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Tom Lawlor won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lawlor 48%52% Kingsbury
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kingsbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kingsbury)
LightweightHIT
Shane Nelson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nelson 53%47% Roop
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Roop)
LightweightHIT
Rolando Delgado won by Submission (R2)
Delgado 53%47% Polakowski
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Polakowski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Polakowski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Polakowski)