The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Saturday, June 21, 2008·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/10(70%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Kendall Grove won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grove 34%66% Tanner
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -468(favors Tanner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Tanner)
MiddleweightMISS
Amir Sadollah won by Submission (R1)
Sadollah 41%59% Dollaway
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dollaway)
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Sanchez 62%38% Fioravanti
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +282(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Fioravanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Fioravanti)
LightweightMISS
Spencer Fisher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fisher 33%67% Stephens
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -192(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stephens)
MiddleweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riddle 59%41% Rivera
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rivera)
WelterweightHIT
Dustin Hazelett won by Submission (R2)
Hazelett 64%36% Burkman
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Burkman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Hazelett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Burkman)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Drew McFedries won by KO/TKO (R1)
McFedries 57%43% Eastman
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -4(favors Eastman)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors McFedries)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 50%50% Arroyo
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -166(favors Arroyo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Arroyo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arroyo)
MiddleweightHIT
Dean Lister won by Submission (R1)
Lister 59%41% Horn
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Horn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Horn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lister)
MiddleweightHIT
Rob Kimmons won by Submission (R1)
Kimmons 54%46% Yundt
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +225(favors Kimmons)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Yundt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yundt)