UFC 82: Pride of a Champion
Saturday, March 1, 2008·Columbus, Ohio, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by Submission (R2)
Silva 73%27% Henderson
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +578(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Henderson)
HeavyweightMISS
Heath Herring won by Decision - Split (R3)
Herring 35%65% Kongo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -281(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Herring)
MiddleweightMISS
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leben 48%52% Sakara
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +66(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Sakara)
MiddleweightHIT
Yushin Okami won by KO/TKO (R2)
Okami 81%19% Tanner
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +208(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Okami)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Okami)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fitch 70%30% Wilson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +493(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Fitch)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by KO/TKO (R2)
Arlovski 57%43% O'Brien
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.0(favors O'Brien)
WelterweightMISS
Luigi Fioravanti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fioravanti 50%50% Cummo
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Cummo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Fioravanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cummo)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by KO/TKO (R2)
Koscheck 58%42% Hazelett
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Hazelett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Koscheck)
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sanchez 72%28% Bielkheden
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +293(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Sanchez)
LightweightHIT
Jorge Gurgel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gurgel 75%25% Halverson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +51(favors Gurgel)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Halverson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Gurgel)