UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Wednesday, January 23, 2008·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Mike Swick won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Swick 57%43% Burkman
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Burkman)
MiddleweightHIT
Patrick Cote won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cote 69%31% McFedries
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors McFedries)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors McFedries)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 77%23% Omigawa
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Omigawa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Tavares)
LightweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R1)
Diaz 64%36% Robinson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +126(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Robinson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Robinson)
LightweightHIT
Kurt Pellegrino won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pellegrino 75%25% Crane
STRONG
→Elo gap: +145(favors Pellegrino)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Pellegrino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Pellegrino)
LightweightHIT
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 64%36% Siver
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +101(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Maynard)
LightweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stephens 61%39% Miller
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -196(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Stephens)
LightweightHIT
Corey Hill won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hill 65%35% Veres
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +128(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Veres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Veres)
LightweightHIT
Matt Wiman won by Submission (R1)
Wiman 67%33% Buchholz
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +132(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Wiman)