UFC 74: Respect
Saturday, August 25, 2007·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Randy Couture won by KO/TKO (R3)
Couture 54%46% Gonzaga
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Gonzaga)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
St-Pierre 57%43% Koscheck
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Koscheck)
LightweightHIT
Roger Huerta won by KO/TKO (R3)
Huerta 88%12% Crane
STRONG
→Elo gap: +281(favors Huerta)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Huerta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Huerta)
LightweightHIT
Joe Stevenson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stevenson 58%42% Pellegrino
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +190(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Pellegrino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Pellegrino)
MiddleweightHIT
Patrick Cote won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cote 50%50% Grove
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -370(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Grove)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Renato Sobral won by Submission (R2)
Sobral 51%49% Heath
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +34(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Heath)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Sobral)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Submission (R1)
Mir 60%40% Hardonk
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Mir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Mir)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Submission (R1)
Leites 62%38% Jensen
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Leites)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Leites)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Split (R3)
Guida 61%39% Aurelio
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Aurelio)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Guida)