UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Saturday, July 13, 2024·Denver, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's FlyweightHIT
Rose Namajunas won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Namajunas 51%49% Cortez
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +155(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Cortez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Cortez)
WelterweightHIT
Muslim Salikhov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Salikhov 55%45% Ponzinibbio
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Salikhov)
LightweightHIT
Jean Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 69%31% Dober
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Silva)
WelterweightHIT
Gabriel Bonfim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bonfim 59%41% Loosa
LEAN
→Elo gap: +88(favors Bonfim)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Loosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Bonfim)
FeatherweightMISS
Julian Erosa won by Submission (R1)
Erosa 26%74% Rodriguez
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -211(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Erosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Erosa)
Middleweight
Alhassan 43%57% Brundage
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Brundage)
FlyweightMISS
Charles Johnson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Johnson 34%66% Van
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Van)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.7(favors Van)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Van)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jasudavicius 59%41% Kline
LEAN
→Elo gap: +185(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Jasudavicius)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Jasudavicius)
BantamweightHIT
Montel Jackson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jackson 58%42% Blackshear
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +334(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Blackshear)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Blackshear)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Luana Santos won by Submission (R1)
Santos 70%30% Agapova
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +309(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Santos)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Petroski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petroski 65%35% Fremd
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Petroski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Petroski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Petroski)
WelterweightHIT
Evan Elder won by Submission (R2)
Elder 55%45% Flowers
LEAN
→Elo gap: +9(favors Elder)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Elder)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Elder)