The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale
Saturday, June 23, 2007·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
BJ Penn won by Submission (R2)
Penn 71%29% Pulver
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +126(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Penn)
LightweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R2)
Diaz 65%35% Gamburyan
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gamburyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gamburyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gamburyan)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Submission (R1)
Leites 67%33% Sword
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +7(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Leites)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Leites)
LightweightHIT
Roger Huerta won by KO/TKO (R2)
Huerta 87%13% Evans
STRONG
→Elo gap: +226(favors Huerta)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors Huerta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.4(favors Huerta)
LightweightHIT
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R2)
Lauzon 84%16% Melendez
STRONG
→Elo gap: +236(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +11.3(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +18.8(favors Lauzon)
LightweightHIT
Cole Miller won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miller 57%43% Wang
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Wang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
Lightweight
Maynard 43%57% Emerson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Emerson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Emerson)
LightweightHIT
Leonard Garcia won by Submission (R1)
Garcia 64%36% Berube
LEAN
→Elo gap: -44(favors Berube)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berube)
LightweightHIT
Matt Wiman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wiman 59%41% Geraghty
LEAN
→Elo gap: -101(favors Geraghty)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Wiman)