UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher
Tuesday, June 12, 2007·Hollywood, Florida, USA
Model Record: 6/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Spencer Fisher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fisher 59%41% Stout
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Fisher)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Submission (R2)
Fitch 54%46% Carneiro
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +342(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Carneiro)
MiddleweightHIT
Drew McFedries won by KO/TKO (R1)
McFedries 77%23% Radev
STRONG
→Elo gap: +13(favors McFedries)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors McFedries)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R2)
Tavares 86%14% Black
STRONG
→Elo gap: +85(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Tavares)
WelterweightMISS
Forrest Petz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petz 22%78% Fioravanti
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -280(favors Fioravanti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Fioravanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Petz)
WelterweightMISS
Tamdan McCrory won by Submission (R2)
McCrory 37%63% Spratt
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors McCrory)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Spratt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Spratt)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R1)
Tibau 83%17% Cox
STRONG
→Elo gap: +0(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Tibau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Tibau)
WelterweightMISS
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 48%52% Reiner
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +41(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Reiner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Reiner)
LightweightHIT
Nate Mohr won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mohr 59%41% Caudillo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -94(favors Caudillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Mohr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Caudillo)