UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher
Tuesday, June 12, 2007·Hollywood, Florida, USA·9 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✓✗✗✓✗✓
Main Card
LightweightHIT
Spencer Fisher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fisher 62%38% Stout
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Fisher)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Submission (R2)
Fitch 64%36% Carneiro
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +438(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Carneiro)
MiddleweightHIT
Drew McFedries won by KO/TKO (R1)
McFedries 72%28% Radev
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +14(favors McFedries)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors McFedries)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R2)
Tavares 87%13% Black
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +128(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Tavares)
WelterweightMISS
Forrest Petz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petz 31%69% Fioravanti
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -445(favors Fioravanti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Fioravanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Petz)
WelterweightMISS
Tamdan McCrory won by Submission (R2)
McCrory 39%61% Spratt
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Spratt)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Spratt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Spratt)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R1)
Tibau 81%19% Cox
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +13(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Tibau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Tibau)
WelterweightMISS
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 41%59% Reiner
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +38(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Reiner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Reiner)
LightweightHIT
Nate Mohr won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mohr 63%37% Caudillo
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -116(favors Caudillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Mohr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Caudillo)