UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Saturday, November 18, 2006·Sacramento, California, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by KO/TKO (R2)
St-Pierre 75%25% Hughes
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -176(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors St-Pierre)
HeavyweightHIT
Tim Sylvia won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Sylvia 72%28% Monson
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +248(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Monson)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Drew McFedries won by KO/TKO (R1)
McFedries 44%56% Sakara
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors McFedries)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.0(favors Sakara)
HeavyweightHIT
Brandon Vera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vera 55%45% Mir
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Mir)
LightweightHIT
Joe Stevenson won by Submission (R1)
Stevenson 88%12% Mishima
STRONG
→Elo gap: +187(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Stevenson)
WelterweightHIT
Nick Diaz won by KO/TKO (R2)
Diaz 77%23% Tibau
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Diaz)
HeavyweightHIT
Antoni Hardonk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardonk 66%34% Pendergarst
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Pendergarst)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Pendergarst)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pendergarst)
Light HeavyweightHIT
James Irvin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Irvin 56%44% Ramirez
LEAN
→Elo gap: -78(favors Ramirez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Irvin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ramirez)
HeavyweightHIT
Jake O'Brien won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
O'Brien 83%17% Shockman
STRONG
→Elo gap: +128(favors O'Brien)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors O'Brien)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.7(favors O'Brien)