UFC Fight Night 5
Wednesday, June 28, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Jonathan Goulet won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Goulet 60%40% Cummo
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Cummo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Cummo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Cummo)
MiddleweightMISS
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 32%68% Leben
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -298(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Leben)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rashad Evans won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Evans 63%37% Bonnar
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Bonnar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Evans)
LightweightHIT
Mark Hominick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hominick 67%33% Gurgel
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +201(favors Hominick)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Hominick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gurgel)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Koscheck 74%26% Menne
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Menne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.5(favors Koscheck)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jason Lambert won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lambert 61%39% Hinkle
LEAN
→Elo gap: +190(favors Lambert)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Hinkle)
WelterweightMISS
Jon Fitch won by KO/TKO (R2)
Fitch 50%50% Alves
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Fitch)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rob MacDonald won by Submission (R1)
MacDonald 55%45% Rothaermel
LEAN
→Elo gap: -111(favors Rothaermel)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rothaermel)
MiddleweightMISS
Jorge Santiago won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santiago 46%54% Levens
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +68(favors Santiago)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Levens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Levens)