UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightHIT
Tatsuro Taira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taira 69%31% Perez
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Taira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Taira)
BantamweightHIT
Miles Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 66%34% Andrade
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -92(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Johns)
FeatherweightMISS
Lucas Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 40%60% Cuamba
LEAN
→Elo gap: -24(favors Cuamba)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Cuamba)
BantamweightHIT
Brady Hiestand won by Submission (R3)
Hiestand 51%49% Armfield
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +33(favors Hiestand)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Armfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Hiestand)
FlyweightHIT
Asu Almabayev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almabayev 76%24% Johnson
STRONG
→Elo gap: +139(favors Almabayev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Almabayev)
WelterweightHIT
Adam Fugitt won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fugitt 64%36% Quinlan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +142(favors Fugitt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fugitt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Fugitt)
FlyweightHIT
Nate Maness won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maness 75%25% Flick
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Maness)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Maness)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Flick)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Gabriella Fernandes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fernandes 48%52% Judice
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -175(favors Judice)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Fernandes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Judice)
FeatherweightMISS
Westin Wilson won by Submission (R1)
Wilson 42%58% Saragih
LEAN
→Elo gap: -223(favors Saragih)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Saragih)
FeatherweightHIT
Melquizael Costa won by Submission (R3)
Costa 65%35% Nuerdanbieke
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Nuerdanbieke)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Nuerdanbieke)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Josefine Knutsson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Knutsson 69%31% Polastri
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +85(favors Knutsson)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Knutsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Knutsson)