UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Tatsuro Taira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taira 72%28% Perez
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+3.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Taira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Taira)
BantamweightHIT
Miles Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 69%31% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+8.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Johns)
FeatherweightMISS
Lucas Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 45%55% Cuamba
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +21(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Cuamba)
BantamweightMISS
Brady Hiestand won by Submission (R3)
Hiestand 34%66% Armfield
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +93(favors Hiestand)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Armfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Hiestand)
FlyweightHIT
Asu Almabayev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almabayev 70%30% Johnson
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +160(favors Almabayev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Almabayev)
WelterweightHIT
Adam Fugitt won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fugitt 57%43% Quinlan
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 44% (+12.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +248(favors Fugitt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fugitt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Fugitt)
Prelims
FlyweightHIT
Nate Maness won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maness 84%16% Flick
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 83% (+1.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +185(favors Maness)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Maness)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Flick)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Gabriella Fernandes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fernandes 44%56% Judice
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 59% (-15.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -258(favors Judice)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Fernandes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Judice)
FeatherweightMISS
Westin Wilson won by Submission (R1)
Wilson 29%71% Saragih
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 25% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -344(favors Saragih)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Saragih)
FeatherweightHIT
Melquizael Costa won by Submission (R3)
Costa 67%33% Nuerdanbieke
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+1.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Nuerdanbieke)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Nuerdanbieke)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Josefine Knutsson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Knutsson 73%27% Polastri
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+8.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Knutsson)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Knutsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Knutsson)