UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2
Saturday, April 16, 2005·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·8 fights
Model: 4/8(50%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Chuck Liddell won by KO/TKO (R1)
Liddell 45%55% Couture
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -45(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Liddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Couture)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Renato Sobral won by Submission (R2)
Sobral 80%20% Wiuff
Over/UnderUnder 69%
Under 69%Over 31%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +284(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Sobral)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Sobral)
WelterweightMISS
Matt Hughes won by Submission (R1)
Hughes 47%53% Trigg
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Trigg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hughes)
MiddleweightHIT
Matt Lindland won by Submission (R2)
Lindland 64%36% Lutter
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Lutter)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Lindland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Lindland)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
St-Pierre 83%17% Miller
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +183(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors St-Pierre)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Ivan Salaverry won by Submission (R1)
Salaverry 25%75% Riggs
Over/UnderUnder 67%
Under 67%Over 33%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Salaverry)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Riggs)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Riggs)
MiddleweightMISS
Joe Doerksen won by Submission (R3)
Doerksen 40%60% Cote
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -177(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Doerksen)
HeavyweightHIT
Mike van Arsdale won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arsdale 62%38% Marsh
Over/UnderUnder 66%
Under 66%Over 34%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +166(favors Arsdale)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Arsdale)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Arsdale)