UFC 44: Undisputed
Friday, September 26, 2003·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 3/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Randy Couture won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Couture 44%56% Ortiz
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -133(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Ortiz)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Arlovski 64%36% Matyushenko
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Matyushenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Matyushenko)
HeavyweightHIT
Tim Sylvia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sylvia 64%36% McGee
LEAN
→Elo gap: +192(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: +13.3(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors McGee)
MiddleweightMISS
Jorge Rivera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivera 31%69% Loiseau
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -130(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Loiseau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Loiseau)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Franklin 74%26% DeWees
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +226(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.0(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors DeWees)
WelterweightMISS
Karo Parisyan won by Submission (R1)
Parisyan 40%60% Strasser
LEAN
→Elo gap: -85(favors Strasser)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Strasser)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Strasser)
LightweightMISS
Josh Thomson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thomson 45%55% Strebendt
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Strebendt)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Strebendt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Strebendt)
WelterweightMISS
Nick Diaz won by Submission (R3)
Diaz 49%51% Jackson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jackson)
LightweightMISS
Hermes Franca won by KO/TKO (R2)
Franca 50%50% Uno
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Uno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Uno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Uno)