UFC 42: Sudden Impact
Friday, April 25, 2003·Miami, Florida, USA·8 fights
Model: 2/8(25%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hughes 67%33% Sherk
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Sherk)
WelterweightMISS
Pete Spratt won by Submission (R2)
Spratt 22%78% Lawler
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -294(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Lawler)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Lawler)
WelterweightMISS
Dave Strasser won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Strasser 34%66% Aram
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Aram)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Aram)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Aram)
HeavyweightHIT
Wesley Correira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Correira 61%39% Alvarez
Over/UnderUnder 66%
Under 66%Over 34%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -191(favors Alvarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Correira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Alvarez)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Franklin 32%68% Tanner
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -416(favors Tanner)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Tanner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Tanner)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Duane Ludwig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ludwig 30%70% Sudo
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -166(favors Sudo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Sudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Sudo)
LightweightMISS
Hermes Franca won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Franca 38%62% Crunkilton
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Crunkilton)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Crunkilton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Crunkilton)
MiddleweightMISS
David Loiseau won by KO/TKO (R1)
Loiseau 34%66% Weir
Over/UnderUnder 68%
Under 68%Over 32%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +6(favors Loiseau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Weir)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Weir)