UFC 39: The Warriors Return
Friday, September 27, 2002·Uncasville, Connecticut, USA
Model Record: 6/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Ricco Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R5)
Rodriguez 74%26% Couture
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Rodriguez)
HeavyweightMISS
Tim Sylvia won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sylvia 44%56% Correira
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Correira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Correira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Correira)
LightweightHIT
BJ Penn won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Penn 72%28% Serra
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +169(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Penn)
LightweightHIT
Caol Uno won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Uno 62%38% Thomas
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Uno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Thomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Uno)
HeavyweightMISS
Gan McGee won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGee 46%54% Rizzo
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -483(favors Rizzo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Rizzo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors McGee)
MiddleweightHIT
Phil Baroni won by KO/TKO (R1)
Baroni 54%46% Menne
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +138(favors Baroni)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Baroni)
MiddleweightHIT
Matt Lindland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lindland 62%38% Salaverry
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Lindland)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Lindland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lindland)
WelterweightHIT
Sean Sherk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sherk 70%30% Radach
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +102(favors Sherk)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Radach)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Sherk)