UFC 39: The Warriors Return
Friday, September 27, 2002·Uncasville, Connecticut, USA·8 fights
Model: 6/8(75%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✓
Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Ricco Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R5)
Rodriguez 73%27% Couture
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -132(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Rodriguez)
HeavyweightMISS
Tim Sylvia won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sylvia 42%58% Correira
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Correira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Correira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Correira)
LightweightHIT
BJ Penn won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Penn 72%28% Serra
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Penn)
LightweightMISS
Caol Uno won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Uno 50%50% Thomas
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +66(favors Uno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Thomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Uno)
HeavyweightHIT
Gan McGee won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGee 54%46% Rizzo
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -682(favors Rizzo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Rizzo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors McGee)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Phil Baroni won by KO/TKO (R1)
Baroni 57%43% Menne
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +226(favors Baroni)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Baroni)
MiddleweightHIT
Matt Lindland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lindland 63%37% Salaverry
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Salaverry)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Lindland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lindland)
WelterweightHIT
Sean Sherk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sherk 68%32% Radach
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +162(favors Sherk)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Radach)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Sherk)