UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Saturday, May 18, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Lerone Murphy won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Murphy 62%38% Barboza
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -92(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Murphy)
WelterweightMISS
Khaos Williams won by KO/TKO (R1)
Williams 36%64% Harris
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Harris)
WelterweightHIT
Themba Gorimbo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gorimbo 72%28% Brahimaj
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +86(favors Gorimbo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Brahimaj)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Gorimbo)
BantamweightMISS
Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yanez 48%52% Salvador
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +397(favors Yanez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Salvador)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Angela Hill won by Submission (R2)
Hill 48%52% Pinheiro
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +201(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Pinheiro)
LightweightHIT
Tom Nolan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nolan 73%27% Martinez
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -43(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.6(favors Nolan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Martinez)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Oumar Sy won by Submission (R1)
Sy 63%37% Tokkos
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tokkos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tokkos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tokkos)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Melissa Gatto won by KO/TKO (R3)
Gatto 48%52% Vidal
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +37(favors Gatto)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Vidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Gatto)
MiddleweightHIT
Abus Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 60%40% Alves
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Magomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Magomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Alves)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Ariane Carnelossi won by DQ (R2)
Carnelossi 21%79% Rodriguez
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -274(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Rodriguez)
BantamweightHIT
Alatengheili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alatengheili 51%49% Rodrigues
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +205(favors Alatengheili)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Rodrigues)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Vanessa Demopoulos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Demopoulos 44%56% Ducote
LEAN
→Elo gap: +101(favors Demopoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Ducote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Demopoulos)