UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Saturday, February 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·14 fights
Model: 8/13(62%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Jack Hermansson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hermansson 16%84% Pyfer
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONGMarket: 31% (-15.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Hermansson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Pyfer)
FeatherweightHIT
Dan Ige won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ige 60%40% Fili
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 63% (-2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +242(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Fili)
MiddleweightHIT
Ihor Potieria won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Potieria 50%50% Bryczek
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+13.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -145(favors Bryczek)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Potieria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bryczek)
MiddleweightHIT
Gregory Rodrigues won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rodrigues 66%34% Tavares
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (-2.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Rodrigues)
LightweightHIT
Michael Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 61%39% Flowers
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 57% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +161(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Flowers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Flowers)
MiddleweightMISS
Rodolfo Vieira won by Submission (R1)
Vieira 49%51% Petrosyan
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 49%
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Petrosyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Petrosyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Vieira)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Prates won by KO/TKO (R2)
Prates 71%29% Giles
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+1.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Giles)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Giles)
LightweightMISS
Bolaji Oki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oki 40%60% Cuamba
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cuamba)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cuamba)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cuamba)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Loma Lookboonmee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lookboonmee 69%31% Brasil
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Lookboonmee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Lookboonmee)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Marcin Prachnio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prachnio 47%53% Clark
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -268(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Prachnio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Clark)
WelterweightMISS
Max Griffin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Griffin 42%58% Wells
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Wells)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Bogdan Guskov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guskov 51%49% Pauga
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +186(favors Guskov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Pauga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Pauga)
FeatherweightHIT
Hyder Amil won by KO/TKO (R2)
Amil 50%50% Garcia
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +312(favors Amil)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Garcia)
Bantamweight
Marcos 56%44% Aoriqileng
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +316(favors Marcos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Aoriqileng)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Aoriqileng)