UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Saturday, January 20, 2024·Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Dricus Du Plessis won by Decision - Split (R5)
Plessis 60%40% Strickland
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +171(favors Plessis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Plessis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Plessis)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Pennington 56%44% Silva
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Silva)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R3)
Magny 51%49% Malott
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +142(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Malott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Malott)
MiddleweightMISS
Chris Curtis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Curtis 46%54% Barriault
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Curtis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Barriault)
FeatherweightHIT
Movsar Evloev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Evloev 59%41% Allen
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -130(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Evloev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Evloev)
BantamweightHIT
Garrett Armfield won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Armfield 62%38% Katona
LEAN
→Elo gap: +20(favors Armfield)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Armfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Katona)
FeatherweightMISS
Sean Woodson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Woodson 48%52% Jourdain
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -129(favors Jourdain)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Woodson)
BantamweightMISS
Ramon Taveras won by Decision - Split (R3)
Taveras 39%61% Sidey
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sidey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sidey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sidey)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Gillian Robertson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Robertson 66%34% Viana
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Robertson)
WelterweightMISS
Sam Patterson won by Submission (R1)
Patterson 40%60% Lainesse
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Lainesse)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Lainesse)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Lainesse)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by Submission (R3)
Jasudavicius 68%32% Cachoeira
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Cachoeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Jasudavicius)
FlyweightMISS
Jimmy Flick won by Submission (R2)
Flick 34%66% Gordon
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Gordon)