UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Saturday, January 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ankalaev 57%43% Walker
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +216(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Walker)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Submission (R3)
Miller 57%43% Benitez
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +283(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Benitez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miller)
BantamweightHIT
Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bautista 51%49% Simon
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Bautista)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Simon)
MiddleweightMISS
Brunno Ferreira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferreira 43%57% Hawes
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Hawes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Hawes)
HeavyweightHIT
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Acosta 75%25% Arlovski
STRONG
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Acosta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arlovski)
WelterweightHIT
Preston Parsons won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parsons 51%49% Semelsberger
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Semelsberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Parsons)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Parsons)
BantamweightMISS
Marcus McGhee won by KO/TKO (R2)
McGhee 38%62% Bolanos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +69(favors McGhee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Bolanos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bolanos)
BantamweightHIT
Farid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Basharat 58%42% Lapilus
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Lapilus)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lapilus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Basharat)
FeatherweightHIT
Jean Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 60%40% Wilson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +62(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wilson)
LightweightMISS
Nikolas Motta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Motta 35%65% Nolan
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -56(favors Nolan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Motta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nolan)
FlyweightHIT
Joshua Van won by KO/TKO (R2)
Van 76%24% Bunes
STRONG
→Elo gap: +109(favors Van)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.2(favors Van)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Van)