UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Saturday, January 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ankalaev 81%19% Walker
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+0.6% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +197(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Walker)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Submission (R3)
Miller 62%38% Benitez
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEANMarket: 58% (+3.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +339(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Benitez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miller)
BantamweightMISS
Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bautista 43%57% Simon
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 38% (+5.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Simon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Simon)
MiddleweightMISS
Brunno Ferreira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferreira 48%52% Hawes
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-7.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Hawes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Hawes)
HeavyweightHIT
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Acosta 88%12% Arlovski
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 84% (+4.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Acosta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arlovski)
WelterweightMISS
Preston Parsons won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parsons 50%50% Semelsberger
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 50% (-0.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Semelsberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Parsons)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Parsons)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Marcus McGhee won by KO/TKO (R2)
McGhee 60%40% Bolanos
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 68% (-8.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +97(favors McGhee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Bolanos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bolanos)
BantamweightHIT
Farid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Basharat 70%30% Lapilus
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-1.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lapilus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Basharat)
FeatherweightHIT
Jean Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 88%12% Wilson
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 87% (+1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +61(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Wilson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wilson)
LightweightMISS
Nikolas Motta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Motta 21%79% Nolan
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 25% (-3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -65(favors Nolan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Motta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nolan)
FlyweightHIT
Joshua Van won by KO/TKO (R2)
Van 80%20% Bunes
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+9.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +157(favors Van)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.2(favors Van)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Van)