UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
Song Yadong won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Yadong 57%43% Gutierrez
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Yadong)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Khalil Rountree Jr. won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jr. 38%62% Smith
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -164(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Smith)
LightweightHIT
Nasrat Haqparast won by KO/TKO (R1)
Haqparast 59%41% Mullarkey
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Haqparast)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Haqparast)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Mullarkey)
BantamweightMISS
Tim Elliott won by Submission (R1)
Elliott 41%59% Sumudaerji
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Elliott)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Sumudaerji)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Elliott)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Muniz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Muniz 51%49% Park
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Muniz)
WelterweightHIT
Kevin Jousset won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jousset 52%48% Kenan
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +61(favors Jousset)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Jousset)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Jousset)
Prelims
FlyweightHIT
HyunSung Park won by KO/TKO (R2)
Park 65%35% Ross
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +530(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Park)
LightweightHIT
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R2)
Garcia 51%49% Costa
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Garcia)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Luana Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 79%21% Egger
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +14.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Egger)
FlyweightHIT
Tatsuro Taira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taira 62%38% Hernandez
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +326(favors Taira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Taira)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Talita Alencar won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alencar 40%60% Santos
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)