UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
Song Yadong won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Yadong 50%50% Gutierrez
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Yadong)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Khalil Rountree Jr. won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jr. 39%61% Smith
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Smith)
LightweightHIT
Nasrat Haqparast won by KO/TKO (R1)
Haqparast 58%42% Mullarkey
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +139(favors Haqparast)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Haqparast)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Mullarkey)
BantamweightHIT
Tim Elliott won by Submission (R1)
Elliott 53%47% Sumudaerji
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +129(favors Elliott)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Sumudaerji)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Elliott)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Muniz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Muniz 71%29% Park
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Muniz)
WelterweightHIT
Kevin Jousset won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jousset 59%41% Kenan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +50(favors Jousset)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Jousset)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Jousset)
FlyweightHIT
HyunSung Park won by KO/TKO (R2)
Park 65%35% Ross
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +363(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Park)
LightweightMISS
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R2)
Garcia 45%55% Costa
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +203(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Garcia)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Luana Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 71%29% Egger
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +134(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +14.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Egger)
FlyweightHIT
Tatsuro Taira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taira 71%29% Hernandez
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +249(favors Taira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Taira)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Talita Alencar won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alencar 38%62% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)