Events / UFC Freedom 250 / Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia
UFC Freedom 250
June 14, 2026
Featherweight
Diego Lopes
Diego Lopes
6-3
Elo 1762Champion II
All-Rounder
VS
Steve Garcia
Steve Garcia
"Mean Machine"
8-2
Elo 1656Champion III
Knockout Artist
Model Prediction
53%TOSS-UP
Diego LopesSteve Garcia
53%47%
Market implied: 62% for Diego Lopes | Model edge: 8.8pp
Style Matchup
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist
Historical win rate for All-Rounder: 51%
Stat Comparison
4.0Sig Str/Min4.8
48%Str Acc47%
50%TD Acc57%
67%Finish Rate88%
0.0Win Streak7.0
Full Head-to-Head ComparisonView Full CardFull Event Preview