Events / UFC Freedom 250 / Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler
UFC Freedom 250
June 14, 2026
Lightweight
Mauricio Ruffy
Mauricio Ruffy
4-1
Elo 1553Contender I
Striker
VS
Michael Chandler
Michael Chandler
"Iron"
2-5
Elo 1468Contender I
Striker
Model Prediction
88%STRONG
Mauricio RuffyMichael Chandler
88%12%
Market implied: 80% for Mauricio Ruffy | Model edge: +7.6pp
Style Matchup
Striker vs Striker
Historical win rate for Striker: 50%
Stat Comparison
4.0Sig Str/Min4.0
58%Str Acc51%
—TD Acc41%
75%Finish Rate100%
1.0Win Streak0.0
Full Head-to-Head ComparisonView Full CardFull Event Preview