UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Saturday, November 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·13 fights
Model: 12/13(92%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Garcia 60%40% Onama
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 55% (+5.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +139(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Onama)
HeavyweightHIT
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Acosta 62%38% Delija
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEANMarket: 46% (+16.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +120(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Delija)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Acosta)
WelterweightMISS
Jeremiah Wells won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wells 45%55% Gorimbo
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+2.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Gorimbo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Gorimbo)
FeatherweightHIT
Yadier del Valle won by Submission (R1)
Valle 57%43% Dulgarian
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 42% (+15.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -157(favors Dulgarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Dulgarian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Valle)
WelterweightHIT
Charles Radtke won by Submission (R3)
Radtke 50%50% Frunza
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-10.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +443(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Frunza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Radtke)
Catch WeightHIT
Allan Nascimento won by Submission (R2)
Nascimento 71%29% Durden
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-1.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +409(favors Nascimento)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Durden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Durden)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Billy Elekana won by Submission (R1)
Elekana 74%26% Christian
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+4.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +121(favors Elekana)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Elekana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Elekana)
BantamweightHIT
Timmy Cuamba won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cuamba 61%39% Lee
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -110(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Lee)
MiddleweightHIT
Donte Johnson won by Submission (R2)
Johnson 77%23% Dumas
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +61(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Dumas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Dumas)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dumont 57%43% Vieira
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 59% (-2.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +211(favors Dumont)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Dumont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Dumont)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Alice Ardelean won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ardelean 63%37% Ruiz
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +186(favors Ardelean)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Ardelean)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Ruiz)
WelterweightHIT
Seokhyeon Ko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ko 71%29% Rowe
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+9.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -137(favors Rowe)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Rowe)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Ko)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Talita Alencar won by Submission (R3)
Alencar 70%30% Carnelossi
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Alencar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Carnelossi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Alencar)