UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Saturday, September 2, 2023·Paris, Ile-de-France, France
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gane 58%42% Spivac
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +378(favors Gane)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.9(favors Spivac)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Manon Fiorot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fiorot 61%39% Namajunas
LEANMarket: 63% (-2.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Fiorot)
LightweightMISS
Benoit Saint Denis won by KO/TKO (R2)
Denis 46%54% Moises
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Denis)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by Submission (R1)
Oezdemir 46%54% Guskov
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-15.0% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +294(favors Oezdemir)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Oezdemir)
FeatherweightHIT
William Gomis won by KO/TKO (R3)
Gomis 68%32% Ghemmouri
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +152(favors Gomis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Gomis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Gomis)
FeatherweightHIT
Morgan Charriere won by KO/TKO (R1)
Charriere 72%28% Zecchini
CONFIDENTMarket: 76% (-3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Zecchini)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Zecchini)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Zecchini)
BantamweightMISS
Taylor Lapilus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lapilus 49%51% Loughran
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-11.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +157(favors Lapilus)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Lapilus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Lapilus)
WelterweightHIT
Ange Loosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Loosa 55%45% McKee
TOSS-UPMarket: 57% (-2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +158(favors Loosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Loosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Loosa)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Nora Cornolle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cornolle 39%61% Edwards
LEANMarket: 44% (-5.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Edwards)
BantamweightHIT
Farid Basharat won by Submission (R1)
Basharat 74%26% Rodrigues
CONFIDENTMarket: 76% (-1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +12(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Basharat)
Catch WeightHIT
Jacqueline Cavalcanti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cavalcanti 50%50% Fairn
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +183(favors Cavalcanti)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.8(favors Fairn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fairn)